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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bears as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Cole Kmet to accrue 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

With an excellent 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Cole Kmet ranks among the leading TE receiving threats in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.

While Cole Kmet has received 19.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's offense in this contest at 12.5%.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Colts linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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