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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Cole Kmet's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 83.1% to 87.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cole Kmet's 13.7% Target% this year conveys an impressive decrease in his pass game utilization over last year's 20.4% mark.
  • Cole Kmet's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a significant reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 4.9 figure.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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