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Cole Kmet
NFL · Player Props
Cole Kmet
TE · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Cole Kmet Receptions

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +106.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The model projects Cole Kmet to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
  • Cole Kmet has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Cole Kmet has been among the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Denver's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in football.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
More Cole Kmet Props Data by WriteNow™
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