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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects Cole Kmet to total 5.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

After accruing 32.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has seen marked improvement this season, currently boasting 44.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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