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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chicago Bears.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

The projections expect Cole Kmet to accumulate 4.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

Cole Kmet has compiled a massive 37.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Chicago O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cole Kmet's 33.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 41.2.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.3%) versus TEs this year (64.3%).

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