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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.

Cole Kmet has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

With an exceptional 43.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (94th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet has been as one of the best pass-catching TEs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Cole Kmet's 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 41.2.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

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