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Cole Kmet
NFL · Player Props
Cole Kmet
TE · Chicago Bears
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Cole Kmet Receiving Yards

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Cole Kmet has run a route on 83.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to total 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs.
  • Cole Kmet has been among the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging a stellar 31.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
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