Colby Parkinson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+388/-400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Rams have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.1% red zone pass rate.
The Rams have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
With an extraordinary 14.3% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Colby Parkinson has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
After totaling 19.0 air yards per game last year, Colby Parkinson has gotten worse this year, currently pacing 5.0 per game.
Colby Parkinson's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 21.2.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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