Colby Parkinson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-360).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 10th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Colby Parkinson has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.7 per game) this year.
After accumulating 19.0 air yards per game last season, Colby Parkinson has fallen off this season, now sitting at 5.0 per game.
Colby Parkinson's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 21.2.
This year, the weak Chargers run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the largest rate in the NFL.