Colby Parkinson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 9:42 AM EST

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-441).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Colby Parkinson has been a big part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.
Colby Parkinson grades out in the 91st percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.40 per game.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's unit has been excellent since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the league.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Colby Parkinson's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 21.2.
Colby Parkinson's 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 76.9% mark.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a measly 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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