Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+251/-264).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Colby Parkinson has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
With an impressive rate of 0.44 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Colby Parkinson ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.
Favors Under
With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have been the most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 77.8% red zone run rate.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.