Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 12, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a massive 62.5 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 5.10 YAC.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Colby Parkinson has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this season (4.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (11.3%).
Colby Parkinson's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.9% to 62.1%.

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