Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
Colby Parkinson has been on the field for 63.3% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among TEs.
This week, Colby Parkinson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.5 targets.

Favors Under

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats decreased) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (71.3%).