Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
With a fantastic 9.7 adjusted yards per target (96th percentile) this year, Colby Parkinson has been among the best pass-catching TEs in football.

Favors Under

Colby Parkinson has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 51.1% of snaps vs just 40.0% last year.
This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a puny 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The Ravens pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 5.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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