Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With a stellar 9.8 adjusted yards per target (98th percentile) this year, Colby Parkinson stands among the best pass-catching tight ends in football.
Colby Parkinson's 7.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.4% mark.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (only 56.3 per game on average).
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.3 per game) this year.
Colby Parkinson's 53.5% Snap% this season represents a noteable boost in his offensive usage over last season's 40.0% figure.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 19.0) vs. tight ends this year.

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