Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 3:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Colby Parkinson has been less involved as a potential target this season (26.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (14.6%).
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Colby Parkinson has been among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a stellar 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to tight ends this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.78 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 9th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.