C.J. Uzomah Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.49 seconds per snap.
C.J. Uzomah's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.4% to 93.5%.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
C.J. Uzomah has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (37.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.0%).
C.J. Uzomah's receiving talent has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 1.8 yards per game compared to 3.2 last year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (69.1%) versus tight ends this year (69.1%).
The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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