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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+154/-171).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -184 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -171.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (57.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Texans.
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.
  • C.J. Stroud's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.0% to 66.1%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.8% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In this contest, C.J. Stroud is anticipated by the projection model to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.3.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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