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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.

In logging a massive 34.4 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud rates among the top quarterbacks in football (76th percentile) in this regard.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in football vs. the Jaguars defense this year (75.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

With a bad 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud stands as one of the worst precision passers in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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