C.J. Stroud TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

TD Passes

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans.
The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.
In logging a massive 34.4 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud rates among the top quarterbacks in football (76th percentile) in this regard.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in football vs. the Jaguars defense this year (75.4% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.
With a bad 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud stands as one of the worst precision passers in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow