C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).
C.J. Stroud's 5.20 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a material gain in his rushing talent over last year's 4.43 figure.
The Bills defense owns the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.34 adjusted yards-per-carry.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 40.5% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

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