C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 237.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).
In racking up a massive 36.8 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the top QBs in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.
C.J. Stroud comes in as one of the top passers in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 256.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
The New England Patriots defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.07 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.