Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Chuba Hubbard's ground efficiency (4.95 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (83rd percentile among RBs).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

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