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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers will be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Christian Watson places in the 76th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 48.7 mark since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.8%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.8%).

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 49.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a subpar 55.9% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Watson places as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among wideouts.

More Christian Watson Player Props

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