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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point increase in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Christian Watson has been more heavily used in his offense's passing game.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With regard to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.46 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.

Christian Watson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 45.3%.

The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.9%) versus wideouts this year (61.9%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Christian Watson Player Props

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