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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis.

When it comes to air yards, Christian Watson ranks in the towering 91st percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 95.0 per game.

Christian Watson's 50.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in football: 75th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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