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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Packers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel last year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.8 per game) last year.

As it relates to air yards, Christian Watson ranks in the lofty 87th percentile among WRs last year, accruing a colossal 83.0 per game.

Last year, the shaky Philadelphia Eagles defense has been torched for a colossal 174.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of CBs has been awful last year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Green Bay Packers last year (a measly 56.8 per game on average).

Christian Watson comes in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, completing a measly 55.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 6th percentile among wideouts

Christian Watson checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging just 7.39 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.9%) vs. wide receivers last year (63.9%).

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