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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.
  • After accumulating 66.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Watson has posted big gains this season, now pacing 101.0 per game.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Christian Watson has been more prominently utilized in his team's passing game.
  • Christian Watson's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, accumulating 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 0.00 mark last season.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
  • Christian Watson's 33.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 43.0 figure.
  • Christian Watson's 44.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last year's 65.3% rate.

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