Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has earned 58.4% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Christian McCaffrey has picked up 68.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Christian McCaffrey has been among the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.61 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 11th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

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