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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+161/-227).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -202 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -227.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 9th-most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.7% red zone run rate.

Christian McCaffrey has been given 72.7% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among running backs.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.

Opposing squads have run for the 6th-least TDs in the league (0.50 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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