Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers rank as the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.0% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.
Christian McCaffrey has earned 57.9% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least TDs in the league (0.83 per game) against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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