My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This week, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.8 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey is positioned as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 88.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a material improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 85.1% figure.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.7%) versus running backs this year (86.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™