Christian McCaffrey Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 70.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to total 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has been among the leading RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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