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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Christian McCaffrey has run more routes this year (70.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.3%).

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (85.4%) to running backs this year (85.4%).

The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Christian McCaffrey's receiving talent has worsened this season, totaling just 3.1 yards per game vs 5.3 last season.

Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 85.1%.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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