Christian McCaffrey Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Christian McCaffrey has run more routes this year (70.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (85.4%) to running backs this year (85.4%).
The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Christian McCaffrey's receiving talent has worsened this season, totaling just 3.1 yards per game vs 5.3 last season.
Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 85.1%.

More Christian McCaffrey Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow