Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Christian McCaffrey has been used more as a potential target this year (70.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to earn 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has accrued a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Christian McCaffrey has accumulated many fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
Christian McCaffrey's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 85.1%.

More Christian McCaffrey Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow