Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to earn 15.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has been given 59.7% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved offense results when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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