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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.1% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • In this game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.9 rush attempts.
  • The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year in run support.
  • The Cardinals linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 83.3% of snaps compared to just 71.5% last year.

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