Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme running game script is indicated by the 49ers being an enormous 13.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Christian McCaffrey is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 carries.
Christian McCaffrey has garnered 64.8% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 49ers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.

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