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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the 49ers being an enormous 13.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Christian McCaffrey is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 carries.
  • Christian McCaffrey has garnered 64.8% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.

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