My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 21.7 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in run blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 27.07 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 71.1% of snaps vs just 60.0% last year.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends rank as the 8th-best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™