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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Christian Kirk has run a route on 94.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian Kirk to total 6.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.

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