Chris Olave Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-172).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints have been the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
When talking about air yards, Chris Olave grades out in the lofty 100th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a striking 125.0 per game.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Saints are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the porous Raiders run defense has conceded a monstrous 1.26 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

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