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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-365).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +285.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are massive -14-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Saints rank as the 10th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 141.0 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Chris Olave's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.7% to 64.3%.
  • The Rams defense has yielded the 8th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.71 per game this year.

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