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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to accumulate 9.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • Chris Olave has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • Chris Olave's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.1% to 65.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense in this week's contest (28.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (33.0% in games he has played).
  • The Saints O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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