Chris Olave Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 8.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave's 69.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for WRs.
Chris Olave has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Saints have been the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 60.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile among wideouts

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