Chris Olave Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+128/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to notch 8.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave's 68.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 59.8% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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