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Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accrue 7.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among WRs.Chris Olave's 67.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for WRs.Chris Olave has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 4.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching just 61.5% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receiversThe Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.
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