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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 8.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

Chris Olave's 68.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in a mere 60.9% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.5%) versus WRs this year (62.5%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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