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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accumulate 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

Chris Olave's 67.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 92nd percentile for wide receivers.

Chris Olave has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.

Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 61.8% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among wideouts

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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