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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Chris Olave's 67.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

Chris Olave has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 60.5% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among wide receivers

The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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