Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-111/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Saints are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 60.7% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints last year (a massive 59.4 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Favors Under

With a weak 7.1 adjusted yards per target (18th percentile) last year, Chris Olave places as one of the worst WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
Chris Olave ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Last year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has given up a feeble 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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