Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (156.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (69.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (69.7%).
The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 6th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.